2018 Week 9 & 10 Roundup – La Liga, BPL, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Serie A, UCL, UEL

After a barnstorming week 8, I was jolted back to reality for week 9 and 10, where I ended up bagging a grand total of $44.47 across both weeks

This came about from 3/8 predictions going my way in week 9 for a $42.28 profit, and 4/7 predictions going my way in week 10 for a measly $2.19 profit.

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Some quick thoughts:

Week 9

I managed to book a profit in this week even though I got most of my predictions wrong by winning the large bets.

After starting the week badly by going down more than $300 after 2 complete stinkers, I placed a rather large bet on Under 3.5 goals in the Las Palmas v Barcelona match.

Betting Under on a Barcelona game is always nervy, but waking up to a 1-1 draw meant I booked a big win. The trend continued as I was stuck around $200 for the week until my final bet, but a goal glut in the first half between BHA and Arsenal meant I ended the week in the black.

Week 10

I was up $400 after getting 4 of the first games right, and should have quit while I was ahead. However, I made a huge error in judgment by deciding to go for broke and risk the entire $400 profit on 3 games which I felt were sure wins.

Crotone vs Sampdoria ended up a complete bust as relegation threatened Crotone ended up trashing the visitors. After that, a late equaliser from Frankfurt had me hoping I would maintain my win, but an even later Michy Batshuayi winner meant instead of winning almost $200, I ended up losing $100.

My week was compounded by a 0-0 draw between Inter & Napoli when I bet $100 on over 2.5 goals as I figured it was a realistic target to clear with the attacking quality of both sides.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (162/308) / 52.6%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $2968.03

2018 Week 8 Roundup – UCL, La Liga, UEL, BPL

Week 8 turned out to be a great week as I bagged a win of $463.60 with 5/6 bets going my way, with the 7th bet ending up drawn.

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The only bet which I couldn’t get right for a clean sweep was my punt on over 2.5 goals between Celta and Eibar which ended 2-0.

Two impulsive punts on UEL games involving AC Milan and Atletico Madrid who were carrying big leads into their second legs really built up some momentum, and I really should have bet way more on Over 3.25 in the Liverpool game as it was crying out for goals before it even began.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (155/293) / 52.9%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $2923.56

2017 Week 44/45 Roundup – Serie A, UCL, UEL, La Liga, BPL

With the international break in week 45, I decided to skip the week altogether instead.

As for week 44, I ended up a grand $0.70, with a 5/11 win rate.

Compared to the previous weeks, it’s a pretty poor return, but I guess with the variance of sports betting, it’s still better than losing!

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Some quick thoughts on week 44:

  1. Had an absolutely shocking start to the week with losses in 3/4 UCL games. Thankfully my big punt on Over 3.25 goals in the Napoli v Man City game came good this time around which helped.
  2. A lucky punt with a good payout on a draw between AEK and Milan actually meant I was up a little going into the weekend.
  3. A completely wrong bet by taking Betis instead of betting on Over 2.5 resulted in a big loss there, but thankfully sharpshooting Valencia and Liverpool bailed me out.
  4. Thanks to Manchester City, I managed to end the week squeaking in a $0.70 profit as they rained in the goals against Arsenal

Hopefully I’ll be able to do better in week 46 when club football resumes!

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (83/164) / 50.6%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $271.32

2017 Week 39 Roundup – UCL, UEL, BPL, Serie A, Mix Parlay

After a decent haul in week 38, I managed to improve upon it and I’m up $105.13 for the week, with 6/12 correct predictions.

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Some quick thoughts on this week where selling my action before the game was over would be a big theme:

  1. I would be up a lot more, and be 7/12 for the week if I had not sold my action on the Monaco v Porto game when the score was 0-2. Sadly, my lack of guts cost me this time, and an 89th minute goal meant I lost $43 instead of winning $35. A solid $78 swing right there.
  2. The experience above meant I also lost in the Benevento v Inter game as I was too scared to sell my action when the score was 1-2, and was praying for a third Inter goal that never came.
  3. Luckily, I sold my action on the Chelsea v Man City game and did not suffer dire consequences as the game never came close to reaching the over 2.75 line, and I managed to cut my losses.
  4. I still think I’m betting on too many games, instead of betting larger on less games. I will be trying to rein in the temptation to bet on so many games in the coming weeks.
  5. I finally got a Mix Parlay right! Though I didn’t manage to win all the bets, I still managed to turn $2 into $93.85! I’ve included my first successful mix parlay win below:

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As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (62/124) / 50%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : -$14.13

2017 Week 34 – BPL, UCL, UEL, Serie A, Ligue 1, & La Liga

After last week’s losing week, things got worse this week as I booked a loss of $44.45.

Hopefully things will turn around but the international break in week 35 means I’ll probably have to wait awhile before any opportunities present themselves.

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  • Over 2.75 @ 0.84 on Man City vs Everton – LOSE $23
  • Hoffenheim (+1) on Liverpool vs Hoffenheim – LOSE $40
  • Under 2.5 @ 0.92 on CSKA vs Young Boys – WIN $10
  • Over 3 @ 0.96 on Athletic Bilbao vs Panathinaikos – LOSE $17
  • Watford (-0.5) on Watford vs BHA – LOSE $32
  • Over 2.5 @ 0.99 on Chelsea vs Everton – LOSE $12
  • Over 2.75 @ -0.91 on Chelsea vs Everton – LOSE $25
  • Over 3 @ 0.89 on Liverpool vs Arsenal – WIN $56.95
  • Mix Parlay – LOSE $2
  • Over 2.75 @ 0.95 on Fiorentina vs Sampdoria – WIN $14.25
  • Over 3 @ 0.91 on Monaco vs Marseille – WIN $18.20
  • Over 4 @ 0.90 on Real Madrid vs Valencia – DRAW

Some quick thoughts/gripes about this weeks action:

  • Was thinking of betting on Over 3 for the Hoffenheim game, but ended up taking Hoffenheim instead cost me there. Should always prioritise Over/Under bets when possible as I seem to do poorly on handicap bets.
  • Betting on the Bilbao game was impulsive, and lead to an unnecessary loss.
  • Got real unlucky on the Watford game because Britos got himself stupidly sent off and Watford couldn’t book an easy home win.
  • Can’t believe how I did not clear 2.5 and 2.75 goals in the Chelsea game after they took at 2-0 lead into half-time.

Hopefully I can turn this around soon!

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (40/81) / 49.4%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : -$277.46

Ajax Amsterdam vs Manchester United Betting Tips UPDATE

After losing money on the Persepolis FC game due to a lack of knowledge, I’ve now lost money due to emotions.

Proof that football betting really has to be approached without fear or favour.

After United won 2-0, it’s $25 down the drain, and noisy Man United friends on the horizon for a while at least.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (10/17) / 58.8%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $142.20

Ajax Amsterdam vs Manchester United Betting Tips

It’s the Europa League final tonight, and even though I wasn’t overly keen on the odds, I felt like I simply had to place a small wager on this game. The fact that the season is drawing to a close is making me less picky on my bets.

I feel like such a degenerate.

Being very anti-ManUnited, I found it difficult to take United with a handicap of -0.5, as tempting as the odds may be. A draw payout of 3.20 was quite tempting but I decided against it as it’s too specific a result to bet on in a one off cup final.

Another possibility was betting on under, but with the line at 2.25, it really wasn’t that appealing.

As such, I’ve gone for $25 on Ajax (+0.5) @ 0.94, which means I will win if the scores are tied at 90 minutes, or if (God willing) the kids from Amsterdam pull off a huge upset and beat Jose Mourinho in a final.

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Fingers crossed and good luck to me!