2018 Week 9 & 10 Roundup – La Liga, BPL, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Serie A, UCL, UEL

After a barnstorming week 8, I was jolted back to reality for week 9 and 10, where I ended up bagging a grand total of $44.47 across both weeks

This came about from 3/8 predictions going my way in week 9 for a $42.28 profit, and 4/7 predictions going my way in week 10 for a measly $2.19 profit.

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Some quick thoughts:

Week 9

I managed to book a profit in this week even though I got most of my predictions wrong by winning the large bets.

After starting the week badly by going down more than $300 after 2 complete stinkers, I placed a rather large bet on Under 3.5 goals in the Las Palmas v Barcelona match.

Betting Under on a Barcelona game is always nervy, but waking up to a 1-1 draw meant I booked a big win. The trend continued as I was stuck around $200 for the week until my final bet, but a goal glut in the first half between BHA and Arsenal meant I ended the week in the black.

Week 10

I was up $400 after getting 4 of the first games right, and should have quit while I was ahead. However, I made a huge error in judgment by deciding to go for broke and risk the entire $400 profit on 3 games which I felt were sure wins.

Crotone vs Sampdoria ended up a complete bust as relegation threatened Crotone ended up trashing the visitors. After that, a late equaliser from Frankfurt had me hoping I would maintain my win, but an even later Michy Batshuayi winner meant instead of winning almost $200, I ended up losing $100.

My week was compounded by a 0-0 draw between Inter & Napoli when I bet $100 on over 2.5 goals as I figured it was a realistic target to clear with the attacking quality of both sides.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (162/308) / 52.6%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $2968.03

2018 Week 8 Roundup – UCL, La Liga, UEL, BPL

Week 8 turned out to be a great week as I bagged a win of $463.60 with 5/6 bets going my way, with the 7th bet ending up drawn.

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The only bet which I couldn’t get right for a clean sweep was my punt on over 2.5 goals between Celta and Eibar which ended 2-0.

Two impulsive punts on UEL games involving AC Milan and Atletico Madrid who were carrying big leads into their second legs really built up some momentum, and I really should have bet way more on Over 3.25 in the Liverpool game as it was crying out for goals before it even began.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (155/293) / 52.9%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $2923.56

2018 Week 7 Roundup – UCL, Bundesliga, Serie A, La Liga

After a solid week 6, I was faced with a weekend without BPL action, which wasn’t as bad as it sounds based on my terrible BPL record.

All in all, I’m up $172.90 for the week, with 4/6 games going my way.

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Some quick thoughts:

  1. An incredible Spurs comeback and a missed Higuain penalty meant I lost half of my first bet of the week. I really couldn’t believe it when I saw Juve were up 2-0 within 10 minutes and went to bed thinking it was an easy $130 in the bag.
  2. Thankfully Liverpool were as goal-reliable as always by smashing Porto 5-0 in Portugal. I should really start investing more in Over bets when Liverpool play

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (150/287) / 52.26%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $2459.96

2017 Week 49 Roundup – UCL, Bundesliga, BPL, Serie A, La Liga

After last weeks lucky escape, I told myself to take a chill pill and take it slow. All in all, I ended up ahead by $41.96 with 3/7 games going my way.

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Some quick thoughts:

After starting the week on fire with 2 in a row, I managed to reel off 4 losses on the bounce to wipe out my early fortune.

A silly punt on Stuttgart without proper research coupled with some bad luck on the Chelsea and Juve games, along with Sadio Mane’s selfishness, meant I was down a lot heading into the final bet.

Thankfully, I made a last minute decision to bet Over on the Manchester derby even though I was considering betting Under all week as Jose would definitely park the bus. Luckily, 2 scrappy City goals and some shocking defending on Delph meant the score ended 2-1 and I managed to book a profit for the week.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (101/197) / 51.3%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $608.90

2017 Week 47 Roundup – La Liga, UCL, AFC, BPL, Serie A

After a stellar week 46, I was planning to go all out to replicate what I had done for week 47.

Sadly, I was unable to live up to the previous weeks performance, and even needed a 94th minute penalty to save me from losing more than $200 instead.

All in all, I am up $77.09 for the week, and getting 5/9 right.

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Some highlights (and lowlights!) of the week:

  1. Odds that look too good to be true sometimes are. I took Betis with a +0.25 goal handicap as they were playing Eibar who were near the foot of the table, whereas Betis have been in pretty good form this season. After I woke up to a 5-0 thrashing of Betis, I knew the bookies know way more about this game than I do.
  2. Getting 2/2 in the midweek UCL games was undone by betting on the AFC Champions League Final second leg, which admittedly, I didn’t know much about.
  3. After winning about $90 betting on Chelsea and Watford, I proceeded to place a large bet on Over 3 in the Lazio game and a medium bet for AS Roma giving 0.75 goals to Genoa. Sadly, a red card for De Rossi after he conceded a penalty meant Genoa managed to equalise, and a big loss there.
  4. Things were compounded further when my big bet on Lazio was not paying dividends, and I made a brash move to bet a further $103 about 70 minutes into the game for over 1.5 goals (it was 1-0 at the time). After practically giving up on winning both my bets, I came back from the shower to see that Fiorentina had equalised to make the score 1-1 in the 94th minute, which meant I didn’t lose anything on the Lazio game!

Lessons learned : Don’t bet on leagues/teams you don’t know, and try not to gamble big to avoid a loss as I got really lucky with Fiorentina’s goal this week.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (95/181) / 52.5%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $512.25

2017 Week 44/45 Roundup – Serie A, UCL, UEL, La Liga, BPL

With the international break in week 45, I decided to skip the week altogether instead.

As for week 44, I ended up a grand $0.70, with a 5/11 win rate.

Compared to the previous weeks, it’s a pretty poor return, but I guess with the variance of sports betting, it’s still better than losing!

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Some quick thoughts on week 44:

  1. Had an absolutely shocking start to the week with losses in 3/4 UCL games. Thankfully my big punt on Over 3.25 goals in the Napoli v Man City game came good this time around which helped.
  2. A lucky punt with a good payout on a draw between AEK and Milan actually meant I was up a little going into the weekend.
  3. A completely wrong bet by taking Betis instead of betting on Over 2.5 resulted in a big loss there, but thankfully sharpshooting Valencia and Liverpool bailed me out.
  4. Thanks to Manchester City, I managed to end the week squeaking in a $0.70 profit as they rained in the goals against Arsenal

Hopefully I’ll be able to do better in week 46 when club football resumes!

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (83/164) / 50.6%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $271.32

2017 Week 42 Roundup – UCL, La Liga, Serie A, BPL, & Mix Parlay

After a decent week 41, I managed to improve upon that by being up $116.22 and 5/9  for this week.

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Some quick thoughts on the weeks action:

  1. I still cannot believe I lost on the Manchester City game. The bet should have been over and won with by half time if it wasn’t for a combination of penalty misses, posts, and off the line clearances. The ultimate banker of the week ended up with a loss. Funny thing football.
  2. Losing on the Real Betis game surprised me as well. Betis have been in such fine goalscoring form I expected them to blow Alaves away, especially without midweek action to tire them out.
  3. I placed a small punt on the Arsenal game when the score was 1-3 after my girlfriend asked me too, and then promptly sold it 10 minutes later after she asked me too again. Guess she was right the first time around as the game finished 2-5!!!
  4. I should have bet more on the Juventus game, but I was reluctant to fire a big bet on the last game of the week as I wanted to book a win. So far I seem to be doing better with Serie A this season compared to the other leagues, so maybe I should switch more focus onto the Italians!
  5. It might be prudent to start the week betting smaller and progressing as the week goes by. I realise if I lose big at the start, I tend to bet bigger on the subsequent games to recover quickly. Though this has worked out so far, my luck will run out eventually and I’ll be in a deep hole again.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (74/145) / 51%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $188.97