2018 Week 5 Roundup – TIM, BPL, Serie A, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga

After a slow and steady week 4, I told myself to keep it up, and managed to book a win of $199.49, with 8/15 predictions going my way, though the week wasn’t panning out too good until the last day.

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The week didn’t start too well, but I wasn’t stuck too badly. Unluckily for me, the games which I bet bigger on would end up losers, while the ones I bet less on would book a win. As I entered the final day, I was down about $206 for the week, with a few chances for a comeback.

If I continued the recklessness I showed in previous weeks, I’d probably have laid $500 or more on a game to book a win for the week, but I decided to play it safe and bet $207 on over 2.5 in the Bologna v Fiorentina game to break even.

Though the odds seemed suspiciously good (which usually raises alarm bells), I decided to go ahead and bet anyway.

As the clock ticked toward half-time and the score remained 0-0, I thought this would be another week where I’d have to dig myself out of a deep hole. Happily, a goal apiece from each team directly from corners meant the teams went in 1-1 at half time, with another goal from Fiorentina in the second half sealing the win.

After breaking even for the week, I figured I had enough ammo to fire $100 on over 3 goals in the Liverpool game which seemed very likely.

The game started well with Salah scoring inside 3 minutes, but the score remained that way until deep into the second half, where I seriously considered selling my action.

An absolute worldie from Wanyama in the 80th minute levelled the scores, and a penalty to Kane a few minutes later had me dreaming that I wouldn’t be losing money that night.

Tragically, Kane struck a crap penalty straight at Karius, and I thought that was it for me.

But I could not believe my eyes at what was about to happen next.

A 91st minute goal from the effervescent Salah meant I could not lose, but even more drama unfolded a minute later when the assistant referee flagged for a (rather soft) penalty for Spurs.

Kane would not be denied at the second time of asking, and I had somehow managed to snatch a win from the jaws of defeat.

Before I went to bed, I was feeling lucky and decided to place a bet of over 3 on the Monaco v Lyon game as these two teams have been scoring freely as of late. That turned out pretty well when I woke up the next morning to a 3-2 win for Monaco.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (143/276) / 51.8%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $2006.26

2018 Week 1 Roundup – BPL, TIM, Portuguese League, CDR, Serie A, La Liga

Welcome to 2018, and what a way to start the New Year!

It’s been a roller coaster first week, as I was down $609.99 at one stage, before a bold roll of the dice on a mix parlay helped me claw back the deficit, with a final dash of 3/3 bets going right to end the week up $69.02, with a paltry 4/11 predictions going right.

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The week started well when I made a speculative punt of over 1.5 goals in the 90th minute with Liverpool leading 1-0, with 2 late goals giving me a great start to the New Year.

However, what followed after was MUCH less fun as I reeled off loss after loss, each closer than the last:

  • Spurs missing numerous chances in a 2-0 win when 1 more goal would have won me half the bet
  • Same story as above in the Turin derby in the TIM cup
  • Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon ending 1-1 which meant I only lost half
  • The worst was probably the London derby between Arsenal and Chelsea, when a 93rd minute Bellerin equaliser meant I lost half the bet, with Zappacosta hitting the post a minute later to compound my misery of what could have been
  • Celta Vigo drew 1-1 with Barcelona in the Copa Del Rey, with the scores tied at half time, and the woodwork being hit more than once, along with more than 10 shots on target from both teams in total
  • Fiorentina vs Inter ended in a 1-1 stalemate to put me deep in the red, and desperate for a miracle

But when that miracle came, it came in glorious fashion!

I took a deep breath and punted $80 on a mix parlay, and somehow got all of it right (below), which pocketed me a win of $576.05 to narrow my losses.


A misstep in Serie A aside (where I bet over 1.5 at half time in the Juventus game that ended 0-1), I reeled off 3 winning bets in La Liga in one night to seal a barely believable profit for the week, again telling myself not to get myself into such deep holes again.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (124/238) / 52.1%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $1276.06

2017 Week 52 Roundup – BPL, TIM, Serie A

And so as 2017 draws to a close, I managed to keep up my momentum and end the final week on a high with a profit of $203.08, with 7/10 predictions going my way. Games greyed out don’t count as they ended up in a draw.

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I started the week well getting 3/3 on the Boxing Day BPL games, but lost my mojo slightly when I made a rash Over 3 bet on the Crotone v Napoli game which ended 0-1 even though Napoli had 20+ shots with 7 or 8 landing on target.

Luckily, I was 3/3 again in Serie A over the weekend to balance out the 1/3 I got right on the BPL. It certainly looks like the Serie A breaks are costing me potential winnings at the moment!

Sadly, I could have improved on my profit for the week, but got 1 prediction wrong (Over 2.75 on Chelsea vs BHA, which ended 2-0) in my mix parlay below. Talk about a close one!

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As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (120/227) / 52.8%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $1207.04

Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid & Lazio vs Juventus betting tips UPDATE


  1. Celta Vigo 1 – 4 Real Madrid
    $26 on Real Madrid (-1.75 handicap) @ 0.79
    Won roughly $20.50 on this match thanks to the late Kroos goal. We just need 1 more point at Malaga and La Liga is ours. Hala Madrid!

  2. Juventus 2 – 0 Lazio
    $49 on Over 2.25 @ 0.88
    AND $49 on Juve to win in FT @ 2.12

– sold my action on the Over 2.25 bet at the 85th minute to only suffer a loss of $9 instead of $24.50 as I figured Juve would just shut up shop when up 2-0

– Won almost $55 on the other bet. A lot of regret for not seeing the odds of 2.12 before betting on Over 2.25, or I would definitely have put it all on Juve to win. It was great odds, and I’m surprised they offered such a healthy payout considering Juve were heavy favourites.

Up $66.80 on the night.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (7/12)

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $127.40

Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid & Lazio vs Juventus betting tips

Considering it’s the middle of the week, it’s surprising to turn up so many games I’m tempted to have a flutter on.

In the end, I decided to settle on these 2 games. After last night’s horrible luck with WBA’s late goal, I’ve identified 3 bets in which I can recoup my losses. They’re listed below with some of my thoughts behind them:

1) $26 on Real Madrid (-1.75 handicap) @ 0.79
This is a support bet, pure and simple. I am such a fanboy.

However, I believe Real will be able to edge this game by 2 goals to continue their march toward the La Liga title, which will mean I can win half my bet.

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2) $49 on Over 2.25 @ 0.88 AND $49 on Juve to win in FT @ 2.12
– Obviously, I believe Juve will win in 90 minutes. They’re probably the most complete team in Europe right now, though it pains myself to say it.

– I doubt Juve will concede in the final, but they’re perfectly capable of scoring 3 goals to clear the 2.25 line. Perhaps leading 2-0 and hit Lazio on the break when they’re throwing everything forward? 2-1 would suit me just fine as well!

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