2017 Week 43 Roundup – Serie A, BPL, La Liga, Mix Parlay

After a stellar week 42, I didn’t manage to replicate it this week by only being up $81.65 with 4/8 for the week. Hopefully I’ll be able to improve on that in week 44 with a round of midweek UCL games and the weekends games.

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Some quick thoughts for the week:

  1. The week started off badly with the Inter game raining goals when I made an Under bet against the statistical data, but thankfully I managed to rebound with 2 quick wins in a row betting on my perennial Over favourite Lazio, and in-form Fiorentina.
  2. Another team with no problem scoring goals seem to be Valencia, and it could be prudent to pay attention to their upcoming games for betting opportunities.
  3. The week turned sour with both my BPL bets being WAY off, which resulted in me compounding it by angrily betting Over on the Juventus game which resulted in 3 losses on the trot, which leads me on to…
  4. Lazio! They saved me again as they were 3-0 up by half time, and ended up smashing poor Benevento to give me a decent winning margin for the week.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (78/153) / 51%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $270.62

2017 Week 42 Roundup – UCL, La Liga, Serie A, BPL, & Mix Parlay

After a decent week 41, I managed to improve upon that by being up $116.22 and 5/9  for this week.

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Some quick thoughts on the weeks action:

  1. I still cannot believe I lost on the Manchester City game. The bet should have been over and won with by half time if it wasn’t for a combination of penalty misses, posts, and off the line clearances. The ultimate banker of the week ended up with a loss. Funny thing football.
  2. Losing on the Real Betis game surprised me as well. Betis have been in such fine goalscoring form I expected them to blow Alaves away, especially without midweek action to tire them out.
  3. I placed a small punt on the Arsenal game when the score was 1-3 after my girlfriend asked me too, and then promptly sold it 10 minutes later after she asked me too again. Guess she was right the first time around as the game finished 2-5!!!
  4. I should have bet more on the Juventus game, but I was reluctant to fire a big bet on the last game of the week as I wanted to book a win. So far I seem to be doing better with Serie A this season compared to the other leagues, so maybe I should switch more focus onto the Italians!
  5. It might be prudent to start the week betting smaller and progressing as the week goes by. I realise if I lose big at the start, I tend to bet bigger on the subsequent games to recover quickly. Though this has worked out so far, my luck will run out eventually and I’ll be in a deep hole again.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (74/145) / 51%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $188.97

2017 Week 41 Roundup – World Cup Qualifiers, Ligue 1, La Liga, Serie A, & Mix Parlays

After a slow burner last time around, I am up $76.60 this week, with 5/7 in the green.

Screen Shot 2017-10-18 at 11.49.53 PM.pngA few quick remarks on the the weeks action:

  1. Placed a bet in the 9th or 10th minute on the Lyon v Monaco game, and they scored within a minute or two which was really fortunate on my part.
  2. Support bets on Real Madrid this season don’t seem to be working out just yet, so I’ll be scaling back on them, or betting much less. Ronaldo missed an open goal, and Getafe’s goal looked suspiciously offside, but the ball is round I guess.
  3. Roma vs Napoli was a real disappointment as I was expecting a barrage of goals involving both these teams, and was the pick I had the most confidence in this week. Funny game, football.
  4. Got really lucky on the Paris game as I placed an over bet at half time when it was still 0-0, and a late Dijon equaliser and an even later PSG winner meant I picked up a full win!
  5. Mauro Icardi, what a player. He completed his hattrick with a last minute penalty, which also sealed my biggest win of the week as Inter beat AC Milan 3-2 in the Milan derby.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (69/136) / 50.7%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $72.75

2017 Week 40 Roundup – World Cup Qualifiers & Mix Parlays

After a stellar week 39, it’s time for the international break which is a real party pooper as it means less games to bet on, and no action on my fantasy football.

I’ve always told myself to avoid qualifiers as there is simply not enough information to make calculated risks, but I guess with no other options I ended up betting anyway.

The addiction is real.

All in al, I’m up $10.28 and 2/5 predictions right for the week.

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Some thoughts on the week:

  • France really let me down. If they had cleared the over 3 line, I would have won a healthy Mix Parlay as well. It’s just lucky that I saw the score was 1-0 at the 60th minute when I woke up out of the blue, and decided to sell my action to get some money back.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (64/129) / 49.6

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : -$3.85

2017 Week 39 Roundup – UCL, UEL, BPL, Serie A, Mix Parlay

After a decent haul in week 38, I managed to improve upon it and I’m up $105.13 for the week, with 6/12 correct predictions.

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Some quick thoughts on this week where selling my action before the game was over would be a big theme:

  1. I would be up a lot more, and be 7/12 for the week if I had not sold my action on the Monaco v Porto game when the score was 0-2. Sadly, my lack of guts cost me this time, and an 89th minute goal meant I lost $43 instead of winning $35. A solid $78 swing right there.
  2. The experience above meant I also lost in the Benevento v Inter game as I was too scared to sell my action when the score was 1-2, and was praying for a third Inter goal that never came.
  3. Luckily, I sold my action on the Chelsea v Man City game and did not suffer dire consequences as the game never came close to reaching the over 2.75 line, and I managed to cut my losses.
  4. I still think I’m betting on too many games, instead of betting larger on less games. I will be trying to rein in the temptation to bet on so many games in the coming weeks.
  5. I finally got a Mix Parlay right! Though I didn’t manage to win all the bets, I still managed to turn $2 into $93.85! I’ve included my first successful mix parlay win below:

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As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (62/124) / 50%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : -$14.13

Final gameweek Mix Parlay

As this is the final week of the season in Europe’s top leagues, I decided to have a flutter of $6 on Mix Parlay. Essentially this is my way of predicting many games, and putting my money (only a little) where my mouth is!

Naturally, I won’t be factoring these predictions in when calculating my win rate as it really is a 10,000 to 1 shot here. This is what I’ve gone for:

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Fingers crossed I get them all right, and it’s 60 grand in the bank!