2018 Week 9 & 10 Roundup – La Liga, BPL, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Serie A, UCL, UEL

After a barnstorming week 8, I was jolted back to reality for week 9 and 10, where I ended up bagging a grand total of $44.47 across both weeks

This came about from 3/8 predictions going my way in week 9 for a $42.28 profit, and 4/7 predictions going my way in week 10 for a measly $2.19 profit.

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Some quick thoughts:

Week 9

I managed to book a profit in this week even though I got most of my predictions wrong by winning the large bets.

After starting the week badly by going down more than $300 after 2 complete stinkers, I placed a rather large bet on Under 3.5 goals in the Las Palmas v Barcelona match.

Betting Under on a Barcelona game is always nervy, but waking up to a 1-1 draw meant I booked a big win. The trend continued as I was stuck around $200 for the week until my final bet, but a goal glut in the first half between BHA and Arsenal meant I ended the week in the black.

Week 10

I was up $400 after getting 4 of the first games right, and should have quit while I was ahead. However, I made a huge error in judgment by deciding to go for broke and risk the entire $400 profit on 3 games which I felt were sure wins.

Crotone vs Sampdoria ended up a complete bust as relegation threatened Crotone ended up trashing the visitors. After that, a late equaliser from Frankfurt had me hoping I would maintain my win, but an even later Michy Batshuayi winner meant instead of winning almost $200, I ended up losing $100.

My week was compounded by a 0-0 draw between Inter & Napoli when I bet $100 on over 2.5 goals as I figured it was a realistic target to clear with the attacking quality of both sides.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (162/308) / 52.6%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $2968.03

2018 Week 6 Roundup – Serie A, La Liga, Ligue 1

After a steady week previously, I again told myself to focus on quality over quantity which meant I was up $280.80, with 3/5 games going my way.

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Somehow the bitter rivalry between Fiorentina and Juventus managed to end up 0-2 to the Bianconeri, which meant I lost half my bet.

Thankfully, 3 wins on a bounce (including a huge bet on the Napoli game with a suspiciously low 2.75 goal line) meant I was up more than $300 for the week.

Unfortunately, I couldn’t resist and decided to make a small punt on the Torino game which ended 2-0.

All in all, I would love for gradual growth every week, just like this one.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (146/281) / 51.95%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $2287.06

 

2018 Week 5 Roundup – TIM, BPL, Serie A, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga

After a slow and steady week 4, I told myself to keep it up, and managed to book a win of $199.49, with 8/15 predictions going my way, though the week wasn’t panning out too good until the last day.

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The week didn’t start too well, but I wasn’t stuck too badly. Unluckily for me, the games which I bet bigger on would end up losers, while the ones I bet less on would book a win. As I entered the final day, I was down about $206 for the week, with a few chances for a comeback.

If I continued the recklessness I showed in previous weeks, I’d probably have laid $500 or more on a game to book a win for the week, but I decided to play it safe and bet $207 on over 2.5 in the Bologna v Fiorentina game to break even.

Though the odds seemed suspiciously good (which usually raises alarm bells), I decided to go ahead and bet anyway.

As the clock ticked toward half-time and the score remained 0-0, I thought this would be another week where I’d have to dig myself out of a deep hole. Happily, a goal apiece from each team directly from corners meant the teams went in 1-1 at half time, with another goal from Fiorentina in the second half sealing the win.

After breaking even for the week, I figured I had enough ammo to fire $100 on over 3 goals in the Liverpool game which seemed very likely.

The game started well with Salah scoring inside 3 minutes, but the score remained that way until deep into the second half, where I seriously considered selling my action.

An absolute worldie from Wanyama in the 80th minute levelled the scores, and a penalty to Kane a few minutes later had me dreaming that I wouldn’t be losing money that night.

Tragically, Kane struck a crap penalty straight at Karius, and I thought that was it for me.

But I could not believe my eyes at what was about to happen next.

A 91st minute goal from the effervescent Salah meant I could not lose, but even more drama unfolded a minute later when the assistant referee flagged for a (rather soft) penalty for Spurs.

Kane would not be denied at the second time of asking, and I had somehow managed to snatch a win from the jaws of defeat.

Before I went to bed, I was feeling lucky and decided to place a bet of over 3 on the Monaco v Lyon game as these two teams have been scoring freely as of late. That turned out pretty well when I woke up the next morning to a 3-2 win for Monaco.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (143/276) / 51.8%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $2006.26

2018 Week 4 Roundup – BPL, Serie A, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga

After a crazy week 3, I managed to tone it down and booked a profit of $108.33, with 4/8 predictions coming true.

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I started the week off badly when Swansea somehow edged Liverpool 1-0 in a low scoring affair, but managed to rebound with my perennial favourites Lazio and my precious Real getting involved in a couple of high scoring games.

The week took a turn for the worse when PSG comprehensively smashed the defensive Montpellier, while Leverkusen and Mainz couldn’t come close to the 3.25 goal line.

Thankfully, I managed to salvage my week with Lazio playing a big part again when I placed a large bet on over 2.5 which was over by half time when AC Milan took a 2-1 lead into the break.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (135/261) / 51.7%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $1806.77

2018 Week 3 Roundup – Ligue 1, Bundesliga, BPL, Serie A

After a quiet week 2, I knew it would not last for long as it all went helter skelter this week.

All in all, I managed to get lucky and escape again with a profit of $278.38 with 3/8 going right, though the numbers don’t tell the whole story.

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So what happened?

I started the week well with two midweek Ligue 1 games going my way, with a profit of $100+ to boot, and I was confident I could maintain my momentum with a slow and steady week of progress.

Sadly, the best laid plans were shot to shit once the weekend came around as I had a torrid Saturday with 3/3 going wrong. The BPL really ain’t my league even though I watch it the most!

I figured I would make a grand comeback on Sunday betting on my favourite league, but that didn’t turn out too well either:

First, I placed a large bet on Over 2.5 in the Atalanta v Napoli game which was looking bleak with no goals until the 60+ minute.

Sadly, I compounded the matter by placing an even larger bet on over 1.5 goals when the score was 0-1, and the game ended with that scoreline which kept me in big trouble. A big parlay bet to save me (like how it did a couple of weeks back) didn’t turn out as well as it did last time, and I was staring down the barrel of a $721 loss for the week.

As the familiar feeling of desperation seized me, I checked the ongoing games and saw that the game between Bayern and Bremen was becoming a bona fide goal fest, and was 3-2 with about 10 minutes to go.

I whispered a prayer and placed the largest bet I’ve ever placed ($1000) on over 5.5 goals and switched over to watch the game on TV.

As luck would have it, within a minute of me watching, James Rodriguez chips the ball over the Bremen defence for Thomas Muller to slot past the keeper to make it 4-2, and I ended the week in the black!

This really isn’t for the faint hearted, and though I tell myself time and time again to bet conservatively and not chase losses, it just keeps happening and I dread the day my luck will run out.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (131/253) / 51.8%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $1698.44

2017 Week 48 Roundup – BPL, Ligue 1, Serie A, La Liga

What a week this was! I was put through a rollercoaster of emotions which I hope I’ll never go through again, but thankfully Lady Luck shone on me in the end to book a profit of $54.69 for the week, with only 3/9 predictions coming true.

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So what happened?

I started the week badly by reeling off 4 losses in a row, which was compounded by a huge bet on Napoli v Juventus that went sour. Though I tell myself time and again to manage my bankroll soundly, logic always seems to go out the window once I book a few red ones, which is something I REALLY need to work on.

After I was down around $440, I made the fateful decision to bet $500 on Everton giving 0.75 goals in their match vs Huddersfield. A win would have erased my losses in one wicked swipe, but a loss would have put me on the brink of losing my entire bankroll.

As they had just thrashed West Ham a few days prior, and had Big Sam in as the new manager, I was counting on Everton booking a win, hopefully by 2 clear goals which would have meant I would win the full bet and be in the black.

Thankfully, a goal and assist from Calvert Lewin meant a 2-0 win was enough for me to book a big win, which I followed up with 2 more wins in a row. Sadly, I ended the week with 2 more losses, which really rankled me, especially the Sampdoria v Lazio game.

I had taken Sampdoria (+0.5) and went to bed with Sampdoria leading 1-0. When I woke up in the morning to check the scores, I got the bad news that a 91st minute Lazio winner meant the score was 1-2, which meant I lost my bet.

However, I’m thanking my lucky stars that I even managed to book a profit this week after starting so badly, and I hope it’ll never happen again!

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (98/190) / 51.5%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $566.94

2017 Week 41 Roundup – World Cup Qualifiers, Ligue 1, La Liga, Serie A, & Mix Parlays

After a slow burner last time around, I am up $76.60 this week, with 5/7 in the green.

Screen Shot 2017-10-18 at 11.49.53 PM.pngA few quick remarks on the the weeks action:

  1. Placed a bet in the 9th or 10th minute on the Lyon v Monaco game, and they scored within a minute or two which was really fortunate on my part.
  2. Support bets on Real Madrid this season don’t seem to be working out just yet, so I’ll be scaling back on them, or betting much less. Ronaldo missed an open goal, and Getafe’s goal looked suspiciously offside, but the ball is round I guess.
  3. Roma vs Napoli was a real disappointment as I was expecting a barrage of goals involving both these teams, and was the pick I had the most confidence in this week. Funny game, football.
  4. Got really lucky on the Paris game as I placed an over bet at half time when it was still 0-0, and a late Dijon equaliser and an even later PSG winner meant I picked up a full win!
  5. Mauro Icardi, what a player. He completed his hattrick with a last minute penalty, which also sealed my biggest win of the week as Inter beat AC Milan 3-2 in the Milan derby.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (69/136) / 50.7%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $72.75