After a stellar week 46, I was planning to go all out to replicate what I had done for week 47.
Sadly, I was unable to live up to the previous weeks performance, and even needed a 94th minute penalty to save me from losing more than $200 instead.
All in all, I am up $77.09 for the week, and getting 5/9 right.
Some highlights (and lowlights!) of the week:
- Odds that look too good to be true sometimes are. I took Betis with a +0.25 goal handicap as they were playing Eibar who were near the foot of the table, whereas Betis have been in pretty good form this season. After I woke up to a 5-0 thrashing of Betis, I knew the bookies know way more about this game than I do.
- Getting 2/2 in the midweek UCL games was undone by betting on the AFC Champions League Final second leg, which admittedly, I didn’t know much about.
- After winning about $90 betting on Chelsea and Watford, I proceeded to place a large bet on Over 3 in the Lazio game and a medium bet for AS Roma giving 0.75 goals to Genoa. Sadly, a red card for De Rossi after he conceded a penalty meant Genoa managed to equalise, and a big loss there.
- Things were compounded further when my big bet on Lazio was not paying dividends, and I made a brash move to bet a further $103 about 70 minutes into the game for over 1.5 goals (it was 1-0 at the time). After practically giving up on winning both my bets, I came back from the shower to see that Fiorentina had equalised to make the score 1-1 in the 94th minute, which meant I didn’t lose anything on the Lazio game!
Lessons learned : Don’t bet on leagues/teams you don’t know, and try not to gamble big to avoid a loss as I got really lucky with Fiorentina’s goal this week.
As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.
Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (95/181) / 52.5%
Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $512.25