2018 Week 3 Roundup – Ligue 1, Bundesliga, BPL, Serie A

After a quiet week 2, I knew it would not last for long as it all went helter skelter this week.

All in all, I managed to get lucky and escape again with a profit of $278.38 with 3/8 going right, though the numbers don’t tell the whole story.

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So what happened?

I started the week well with two midweek Ligue 1 games going my way, with a profit of $100+ to boot, and I was confident I could maintain my momentum with a slow and steady week of progress.

Sadly, the best laid plans were shot to shit once the weekend came around as I had a torrid Saturday with 3/3 going wrong. The BPL really ain’t my league even though I watch it the most!

I figured I would make a grand comeback on Sunday betting on my favourite league, but that didn’t turn out too well either:

First, I placed a large bet on Over 2.5 in the Atalanta v Napoli game which was looking bleak with no goals until the 60+ minute.

Sadly, I compounded the matter by placing an even larger bet on over 1.5 goals when the score was 0-1, and the game ended with that scoreline which kept me in big trouble. A big parlay bet to save me (like how it did a couple of weeks back) didn’t turn out as well as it did last time, and I was staring down the barrel of a $721 loss for the week.

As the familiar feeling of desperation seized me, I checked the ongoing games and saw that the game between Bayern and Bremen was becoming a bona fide goal fest, and was 3-2 with about 10 minutes to go.

I whispered a prayer and placed the largest bet I’ve ever placed ($1000) on over 5.5 goals and switched over to watch the game on TV.

As luck would have it, within a minute of me watching, James Rodriguez chips the ball over the Bremen defence for Thomas Muller to slot past the keeper to make it 4-2, and I ended the week in the black!

This really isn’t for the faint hearted, and though I tell myself time and time again to bet conservatively and not chase losses, it just keeps happening and I dread the day my luck will run out.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (131/253) / 51.8%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $1698.44

2018 Week 2 Roundup – CDR, Bundesliga, La Liga, BPL

After last week’s great escape, I decided to tone down the gambling and bet more conservatively.

All in all, I am up $144, with 4/7 predictions going right for the week.

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Some quick thoughts on the week:

  1. late 95th minute goal from FC Koln was the difference between winning and losing half my bet.
  2. Liverpool and Manchester City played out a crazy game which meant I cleared the over 3 goal line easily, and should very well have bet much more on a game that promised so many goals!

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (128/245) / 52.2%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $1420.06

2018 Week 1 Roundup – BPL, TIM, Portuguese League, CDR, Serie A, La Liga

Welcome to 2018, and what a way to start the New Year!

It’s been a roller coaster first week, as I was down $609.99 at one stage, before a bold roll of the dice on a mix parlay helped me claw back the deficit, with a final dash of 3/3 bets going right to end the week up $69.02, with a paltry 4/11 predictions going right.

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The week started well when I made a speculative punt of over 1.5 goals in the 90th minute with Liverpool leading 1-0, with 2 late goals giving me a great start to the New Year.

However, what followed after was MUCH less fun as I reeled off loss after loss, each closer than the last:

  • Spurs missing numerous chances in a 2-0 win when 1 more goal would have won me half the bet
  • Same story as above in the Turin derby in the TIM cup
  • Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon ending 1-1 which meant I only lost half
  • The worst was probably the London derby between Arsenal and Chelsea, when a 93rd minute Bellerin equaliser meant I lost half the bet, with Zappacosta hitting the post a minute later to compound my misery of what could have been
  • Celta Vigo drew 1-1 with Barcelona in the Copa Del Rey, with the scores tied at half time, and the woodwork being hit more than once, along with more than 10 shots on target from both teams in total
  • Fiorentina vs Inter ended in a 1-1 stalemate to put me deep in the red, and desperate for a miracle

But when that miracle came, it came in glorious fashion!

I took a deep breath and punted $80 on a mix parlay, and somehow got all of it right (below), which pocketed me a win of $576.05 to narrow my losses.

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A misstep in Serie A aside (where I bet over 1.5 at half time in the Juventus game that ended 0-1), I reeled off 3 winning bets in La Liga in one night to seal a barely believable profit for the week, again telling myself not to get myself into such deep holes again.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (124/238) / 52.1%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $1276.06

2017 Week 52 Roundup – BPL, TIM, Serie A

And so as 2017 draws to a close, I managed to keep up my momentum and end the final week on a high with a profit of $203.08, with 7/10 predictions going my way. Games greyed out don’t count as they ended up in a draw.

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I started the week well getting 3/3 on the Boxing Day BPL games, but lost my mojo slightly when I made a rash Over 3 bet on the Crotone v Napoli game which ended 0-1 even though Napoli had 20+ shots with 7 or 8 landing on target.

Luckily, I was 3/3 again in Serie A over the weekend to balance out the 1/3 I got right on the BPL. It certainly looks like the Serie A breaks are costing me potential winnings at the moment!

Sadly, I could have improved on my profit for the week, but got 1 prediction wrong (Over 2.75 on Chelsea vs BHA, which ended 2-0) in my mix parlay below. Talk about a close one!

Missed Parlay by 1.png

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (120/227) / 52.8%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $1207.04