2017 Week 51 Roundup – BPL, EFL, La Liga, Serie A

Though I didn’t do as well as last week, I am up $142.10 for the week, with 7/11 of my bets going right.

With the winter break coming up for most major European leagues, I’ll be left with only the BPL to bet on over the Christmas break. Hopefully my luck with this particular league will improve.

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The week started poorly with a loss on the Everton game, and threatened to get worse as I was heading for a big loss on the EFL game between Leicester and Man City.

Luckily, I rolled the dice with 2 bets:
– Over 1.75 goals with 15 minutes to go
– Over 1.5 goals with 5 minutes to go

Thankfully, a 97th minute penalty converted by Vardy meant I actually ended up winning on the previously doomed game.

My luck for these bets have to be running out soon, and I really hope I stop giving in to the urge to make these dangerous gambles when facing a big loss.

A support bet on Real ended up in a loss as Zidane got his tactics wrong, but fortunately my favourite league this season saved me again as I got 3/3 right in Serie A. If only I had the courage to bet more on the Italians!

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (113/217) / 52.07%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $1003.96

2017 Week 50 Roundup – Serie A, BPL, La Liga

After Pep’s City saved my bacon last week, I wanted to avoid having the butterflies two weeks in a row. All in all, I ended up $180.96 to the good with 5/9 games going my way.

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Some quick thoughts:

BPL games didn’t work out well for me this week as I lost 3/4 BPL bets I made. Ironically, the bet which I did the least research on ended up a banker as Huddersfield raced into a 0-3 lead before half time.

Crystal Palace in particular was a real pain as they defied their poor early season form to snatch victory in stoppage time vs Watford which cost me dearly, not to mention their barnstorming victory over a Leicester side which was heavily favoured to win.

I fared much better on Serie A games as I got 3/4 Serie A games right, coincidentally with all 3 being Over bets. Who said the Italians were defensive?

Also, I’m deeply grateful to Eibar for snatching a winner in the 87 minute to end the score at 2-1 after it was 0-0 at half time!

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (106/206) / 51.5%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $861.86

2017 Week 49 Roundup – UCL, Bundesliga, BPL, Serie A, La Liga

After last weeks lucky escape, I told myself to take a chill pill and take it slow. All in all, I ended up ahead by $41.96 with 3/7 games going my way.

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Some quick thoughts:

After starting the week on fire with 2 in a row, I managed to reel off 4 losses on the bounce to wipe out my early fortune.

A silly punt on Stuttgart without proper research coupled with some bad luck on the Chelsea and Juve games, along with Sadio Mane’s selfishness, meant I was down a lot heading into the final bet.

Thankfully, I made a last minute decision to bet Over on the Manchester derby even though I was considering betting Under all week as Jose would definitely park the bus. Luckily, 2 scrappy City goals and some shocking defending on Delph meant the score ended 2-1 and I managed to book a profit for the week.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (101/197) / 51.3%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $608.90

2017 Week 48 Roundup – BPL, Ligue 1, Serie A, La Liga

What a week this was! I was put through a rollercoaster of emotions which I hope I’ll never go through again, but thankfully Lady Luck shone on me in the end to book a profit of $54.69 for the week, with only 3/9 predictions coming true.

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So what happened?

I started the week badly by reeling off 4 losses in a row, which was compounded by a huge bet on Napoli v Juventus that went sour. Though I tell myself time and again to manage my bankroll soundly, logic always seems to go out the window once I book a few red ones, which is something I REALLY need to work on.

After I was down around $440, I made the fateful decision to bet $500 on Everton giving 0.75 goals in their match vs Huddersfield. A win would have erased my losses in one wicked swipe, but a loss would have put me on the brink of losing my entire bankroll.

As they had just thrashed West Ham a few days prior, and had Big Sam in as the new manager, I was counting on Everton booking a win, hopefully by 2 clear goals which would have meant I would win the full bet and be in the black.

Thankfully, a goal and assist from Calvert Lewin meant a 2-0 win was enough for me to book a big win, which I followed up with 2 more wins in a row. Sadly, I ended the week with 2 more losses, which really rankled me, especially the Sampdoria v Lazio game.

I had taken Sampdoria (+0.5) and went to bed with Sampdoria leading 1-0. When I woke up in the morning to check the scores, I got the bad news that a 91st minute Lazio winner meant the score was 1-2, which meant I lost my bet.

However, I’m thanking my lucky stars that I even managed to book a profit this week after starting so badly, and I hope it’ll never happen again!

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (98/190) / 51.5%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $566.94