2017 Week 47 Roundup – La Liga, UCL, AFC, BPL, Serie A

After a stellar week 46, I was planning to go all out to replicate what I had done for week 47.

Sadly, I was unable to live up to the previous weeks performance, and even needed a 94th minute penalty to save me from losing more than $200 instead.

All in all, I am up $77.09 for the week, and getting 5/9 right.

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Some highlights (and lowlights!) of the week:

  1. Odds that look too good to be true sometimes are. I took Betis with a +0.25 goal handicap as they were playing Eibar who were near the foot of the table, whereas Betis have been in pretty good form this season. After I woke up to a 5-0 thrashing of Betis, I knew the bookies know way more about this game than I do.
  2. Getting 2/2 in the midweek UCL games was undone by betting on the AFC Champions League Final second leg, which admittedly, I didn’t know much about.
  3. After winning about $90 betting on Chelsea and Watford, I proceeded to place a large bet on Over 3 in the Lazio game and a medium bet for AS Roma giving 0.75 goals to Genoa. Sadly, a red card for De Rossi after he conceded a penalty meant Genoa managed to equalise, and a big loss there.
  4. Things were compounded further when my big bet on Lazio was not paying dividends, and I made a brash move to bet a further $103 about 70 minutes into the game for over 1.5 goals (it was 1-0 at the time). After practically giving up on winning both my bets, I came back from the shower to see that Fiorentina had equalised to make the score 1-1 in the 94th minute, which meant I didn’t lose anything on the Lazio game!

Lessons learned : Don’t bet on leagues/teams you don’t know, and try not to gamble big to avoid a loss as I got really lucky with Fiorentina’s goal this week.

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (95/181) / 52.5%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $512.25

2017 Week 46 Roundup – WCQ, Serie A, Bundesliga, La Liga

After a week of no betting, I could restrain myself no longer and started the week by betting on the World Cup play-offs with mixed results. A bit of luck on Saturday meant I didn’t lose any money (though I came real close!), and 3 correct predictions in a row on Sunday meant I ended the week up $163.84 with 6/8 predictions going my way.

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Some quick thoughts on my action in week 46:

  1. My overconfidence in the Ireland and Denmark game ending up in a stalemate backfired horribly when Eriksen ran riot with a hattrick.
  2. I came super close to losing on Over 3 bets in the Roma v Lazio and Napoli v AC Milan games. Thanks to some late goals (with one at the very death in the Napoli game), I managed to avoid losing on both these games. Good thing I didn’t buckle under pressure and sell my action!
  3. Was extremely proud of my 3 predictions on Sunday coming through, and was only slightly disappointed that I didn’t bet more on the Inter game as I had the best feeling about that one.

All in all, it was a great week, and hopefully I’ll be able to keep it up in week 47, especially with UCL games coming up!

As usual, I won’t be including mix parlay’s in the prediction count, though I do include the profit & loss.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (89/172) / 51.7%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $435.16

2017 Week 44/45 Roundup – Serie A, UCL, UEL, La Liga, BPL

With the international break in week 45, I decided to skip the week altogether instead.

As for week 44, I ended up a grand $0.70, with a 5/11 win rate.

Compared to the previous weeks, it’s a pretty poor return, but I guess with the variance of sports betting, it’s still better than losing!

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Some quick thoughts on week 44:

  1. Had an absolutely shocking start to the week with losses in 3/4 UCL games. Thankfully my big punt on Over 3.25 goals in the Napoli v Man City game came good this time around which helped.
  2. A lucky punt with a good payout on a draw between AEK and Milan actually meant I was up a little going into the weekend.
  3. A completely wrong bet by taking Betis instead of betting on Over 2.5 resulted in a big loss there, but thankfully sharpshooting Valencia and Liverpool bailed me out.
  4. Thanks to Manchester City, I managed to end the week squeaking in a $0.70 profit as they rained in the goals against Arsenal

Hopefully I’ll be able to do better in week 46 when club football resumes!

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (83/164) / 50.6%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $271.32