Crotone vs Lazio & Sampdoria vs Napoli Serie A Betting Tips UPDATE

With Crotone beating Lazio last night to stay in Serie A, I finally turned a profit tonight after 4 consecutive days to snap that terrible losing streak. Sadly, the fact that Napoli played out a goal-fest with Sampdoria meant I couldn’t go 2 for 2.

Though I got 1 wrong and 1 right, the larger payout on the Crotone game meant I was up a little.

Here are the results

  1. Crotone vs Lazio
    $24 on Crotone to win @ 2.51 – WON 36.20 
  2. Sampdoria vs Napoli
    $26 on Under 4 goals @ 0.84 – LOST 26 

All in all, I’m up $10.20 on the night.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (11/21) / 52.4%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $72.36

Crotone vs Lazio & Sampdoria vs Napoli Serie A Betting Tips

As it’s the last week of action in Serie A, I felt like I could not turn down the chance for a last flutter before the UCL final, even though I told myself I’d wait for the Madrid v Juve game.

After taking a look at the games tonight, I was tempted to go with Roma as they’re at home against Genoa who have been terrible recently, but felt that a 3 goal handicap was just a tad too high. The Over 4.25 Goals line seem a bit far fetched as well.

As such, I’ve gone with:

  1. Crotone vs Lazio
    $24 on Crotone to win @ 2.51 

    – Lazio’s form has fallen off a cliff recently after having nothing to play for in the league and losing the cup final. Crotone will be gunning for a win to overtake Empoli and stay in Serie A, so they will be fighting hard, and I think the payout for a win is pretty good.

  2. Sampdoria vs Napoli
    $26 on Under 4 goals @ 0.84

    – Napoli have to win to maintain their hopes of qualifying for the UCL group stages immediately next season. However, Sampdoria don’t tend to score too many goals, and Napoli’s defence is pretty solid. All in all, I predict a low scoring Napoli win. Maybe 2-0 or 2-1 to Napoli? Basically, enough to place my faith in under 4!

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With my bad streak over the last week stretching to losing the last 4 games with a combined loss of $137, I really hope these 2 games will help me snap out of it before the UCL final, and put me back deeper in the black.

Fingers crossed and good luck to me!

PSG vs Angers French Cup Final Betting Tips UPDATE

The bad streak continues after waking up to a 1-0 victory for PSG over Angers, and with Barcelona v Alaves finishing 3-1, I’m kicking myself for not punting on Over 3.5 as I intended to in the previous post.

After punting $27 on Over 3.25 @ -0.92, I ended up losing $24.84 on this match. I think it’s time to sit back and not rush into betting on another match until the UCL final as I’ve gotten all these picks so wrong recently.

This is really hitting my hit rate hard, while also whittling away at my profits since I started recording them on this blog. Thankfully I’m still in the black, but it won’t continue if I keep up this crap win rate.

To be a consistent winner, I’ve got to be making sure my win percentage is between 52% to 55%. Anything better is just a bonus.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (10/19) / 52.6%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $62.16

PSG vs Angers French Cup Final Betting Tips

After losing out on the FA Cup Final, I spotted a couple of opportunities to recoup some of my money.

  1. Over 3.5 goals on Barcelona v Alaves in the Copa Del Rey final
  2. Over 3.25 goals on PSG vs Angers in the French Cup Final

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As a Real Madrid fan, I find it extremely difficult to back Barca (even if it’s betting on Over/Under in their matches). Go go Alaves!

Because of my pettiness, I’ve decided to go with a small bet of $27 on Over 3.25 @ -0.92 on the PSG vs Angers match. Fingers crossed I can recoup some of what I lost on the FA Cup Final!

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Chelsea vs Arsenal FA Cup Final Betting Tips UPDATE

What a fitting finale to the FA Cup. It was a quality game with real end to end stuff. However, really felt like Chelsea were robbed here as the first goal from Arsenal should have been called for offside and/or handball. The red card for Moses in the second half with Chelsea 1-0 down really sealed the deal.

With the score ending 2-1 in favour of Arsenal, I ended up losing $55.20 on a punt of $60 on Chelsea (-0.75) @ -0.92. Would I ever have considered betting on Over 2.5 before the game? I really can’t say myself.

Been running bad recently and getting my picks wrong. Hopefully my support bet on Real in the UCL final next week will yield dividends, and it’s a long break after that unless I really decide to delve deeper into the CSL or J-League.

Down $55.20 on the night.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (10/18) / 55.5%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $87

Chelsea vs Arsenal FA Cup Final Betting Tips

It’s a London derby tonight for the FA Cup, with Chelsea up against Arsenal.

It really doesn’t look good for Arsenal as this Chelsea team is incredibly ruthless and efficient, while Arsenal is suffering a defensive crisis

I’ve decided to punt $60 on Chelsea (-0.75) @ -0.92. Lets hope the Blues march their way to the title!

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Fingers crossed and good luck to me!

Ajax Amsterdam vs Manchester United Betting Tips UPDATE

After losing money on the Persepolis FC game due to a lack of knowledge, I’ve now lost money due to emotions.

Proof that football betting really has to be approached without fear or favour.

After United won 2-0, it’s $25 down the drain, and noisy Man United friends on the horizon for a while at least.

Correct Prediction Count (since blog inception) : (10/17) / 58.8%

Profit/Loss (since blog inception) : $142.20